This talk was held by Stuart Bond of Bangor University, the manager of the ‘Green Innovation Future Technologies Project’ (GIFT) http://giftnetworkproject.eu/?page_id=310 which has the aims of
- Encouraging small or medium enterprise businesses within the INTERREG regions of Ireland and Wales and help to grow a sustainable Green Economy.
- Members will be able to network and collaborate with other businesses, industry experts (public and private sector) and social enterprises with a view to sharing experiences and creating new opportunities.
- To promote sustainable development in the areas of the Green Economy, Green Tourism, Waste Management and Green Technology.
The purpose of this talk was to address the questions of can we create a future planet where people and nature thrive together? At this point we were shown a quote by Einstein ‘imagination is more important than knowledge’. and Stuart explained that in order to begin to think about the future it is often best to use our imagination, as this will ultimately get us to where we want to be. I like this thought and thought it very appropriate when considering the future.
It becomes quite complicated from here as there are lots of parameters and complex modelling so I will try my best to convey what I can from my notes in an understandable manner.
Firstly purposes must be clarified – why do this exercise?, then the foundations laid, then the narratives and policies developed and lastly the scenarios may be modelled.
There are 3 core indicators: carbon, water, and ecological footprints and these are applied at the centre of the 4 different scenarios.
Senario 1: people become more environmentally responsible for and socially caring, there are carbon taxes, minimum wages throughout, technology is flexible, competition is replaced with co-operation and GMO food imports are banned.
Senario 2: there is a strong emphasis on trading with environmentally friendly countries with low footprints
Senario 3: the population is divided into rich and poor, society and the population is government controlled, much more new technology, increased petrol taxes and a big emphasis on stakeholder profits
Senario 4: there is more collaboration than competition,, wider community, social and ethical values, a minimum wage throughout, organic farming, no ineffective appliances produced, fuel taxes and a GMO import ban.
So far senarios 1 and 4 sounded best to me been much more eco-friendly and thoughtful and 3 the worst, the greediest type of planet we could end up with.
At this point we were told that scenario 1 would indeed yield the best results and an improved planet with lower production, consumption and footprints. But even this scenario and model still didn’t produce a planet by 2050 that will be energy efficient with a one planet economy.
It is easy to make bigger but more efficient products, from cars to fridges, but if people simply buy more of them and drive them twice as far than the positives gained from the product begin to equal the negatives. Thus in future it is particularly important to consider both production and consumption if we wish to reduce footprints.
The take home message was that the best accurate and researched data must be used in models in order to gain the best results. In addition to this, it is important to influence the hearts and minds of policy makers in order for them to make the best rational decisions in future.
At present, it seems the planet cannot be made perfect but it can be made better, and even more so if at the individual level, people make efforts to improve the planet and make it more sustainable.